If Trump Shuts Down US-Mexico Border, US Will Run Out Of Avocados In Three Weeks

Lynne Versluys 1 Apr 2019

Time to panic. Avocado toast is at stake!

Threats To Close The Border

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In his latest push for instituting a new system at the Mexico-US border, President Trump has threatened to close off the border for trade. On Friday, he claimed that there was a "very good likelihood" that he will close off the border completely if Mexico did not stop potential immigrants from reaching the border.

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Trade Ramifications

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This would have devastating ramifications on agriculture in the States, particularly dairy and pork. David Herring, president of the National Pork Producers Council explained, "We are at the breaking point and cannot afford a total loss of the Mexican market."

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Not The Avocados!

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Additionally, the US is dependent on many Mexican imports, including avocados. Steve Barnard, president and chief executive of Mission Produce, the largest distributor and grower of avocados explained to NBC News that the border closure would have a devastating impact on the avocados in the states within three weeks.

"You couldn't pick a worse time of year because Mexico supplies virtually 100 percent of the avocados in the U.S. right now. California is just starting and they have a very small crop, but they're not relevant right now and won't be for another month or so."

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An Impact On Consumers

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Ultimately, a push like this from Trump would have the most impact on consumers, according to Monica Ganley, principal at Quarterra, a consulting organization specializing in Latin American agricultural issues and trade. She told NBC News:

"When a border is closed or barriers to trade are put in place, I absolutely expect there would be an impact on consumers. We're absolutely going to see higher prices. This is a very real and very relevant concern for American consumers."

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Goes Both Ways

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Mexico would also face issues if the border closed. Mexico is the main importer of American gasoline and diesel fuels, and a closed border would disrupt that flow of trade.

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Other Threatened Imports

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Other major Mexican imports include tomatoes, cucumbers, blackberries, and raspberries, so you can basically kiss your brunch goodbye.

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